Lost amidst the pandemic and civil unrest? AI that can collapse the economy arrived 10 years early.

Another economic shockwave is going to hit its stride in 2 years or less. 12 examples of jobs that will be affected, and 12 questions we should be asking. We need an AI plan as badly and urgently as we needed a pandemic plan.

A Quick Recap: Who and What

“The pace of progress in artificial intelligence is incredibly fast. Unless you have direct exposure to groups like DeepMind [Google’s AI research laboratory], you have no idea how fast. The risk of something seriously dangerous happening is in the five-year timeframe. 10 years at most.”

So what is GPT-3?

Mindless, and paradigm-breaking

Via @sonyasupposedly

Fake intelligence may be dominant over real intelligence in many domains.

12 common jobs / entire lines of work GPT-3 can start substantially augmenting right now.

1. Teaching / tutoring / education-related jobs

Via Paras Chopra
Via McKay Wrigley
Via Mario Klingemann

2. Coaching and consulting jobs

Via Bemmu Sepponen

3. Counselling and mediation jobs

4. Law / Legal jobs

5. Accounting

6. Healthcare jobs

7. All writing jobs (journalism, creative writing, etc.)

Via Mario Klingemann
Via Mario Klingemann

8. Web Design jobs

Via the Prototypr blog, via Jordan Singer

9. Programming/Coding jobs

10. Graphic design / visual editing jobs

what differentiates this un-thinking, automated work, from the labour of somebody with great creativity, imagination, and artistic competencies?

11. Marketing & Social Media Marketing Jobs

12. Research and data entry

12 questions we should be more earnestly asking, debating, and preparing to solve.

In some ways, it is no different from pandemic preparedness.

1. Why is OpenAI suddenly okay with providing access to this?

2. Should all AI output be labeled, by law, as AI-created or AI-augmented?

3. Will this be the straw the breaks the camel’s back with regards to social media and regulation of the digital commons?

4. Will people stop sharing their information and insight online?

5. What happens when coders — especially entry to mid-level — are the new coal miners? Are we ready for the economic reality of that?

John Carmack, Consulting CTO of Oculus VR

6. People always talk about unemployment, but underemployment is the more telling indicator. What happens when all the underemployment shifts to unemployment?

7. Should companies be forced to pay all or some portion of the money an AI generates, to the person the AI either directly or indirectly replaced?

8. What will become of our social life, when AI becomes a reliable companion, or replacement? How will we ensure the isolation and echo chambers of social media aren’t made even worse?

9. What happens to how we learn, and how we are expected to retain or apply knowledge? What will be an acceptable standard?

10. What will jobs look like? Will there be such a thing anymore? What will happen to our sense of purpose?

11. Should we allow ourselves to be governed by an objective, rational AI? Especially as confidence in politicians around the world craters?

12. This short story written by Max Tegmark, previously considered science fiction, we now know could be hypothetically possible in the next 5 years. How do we prepare, from a policy perspective?

AI this powerful can be an opportunity, or a catastrophe. How seriously we prepare will decide whether it’s the former or the latter.



Rethinking the attention economy and wonder wandering.

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